CXB

WIRE

Net Liquidity?Total money flowing through the financial system: Fed balance sheet minus Treasury General Account and reverse repos. Bitcoin price tends to follow net liquidity over time.

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FedWatch?Market-implied probability of a Fed interest rate cut at the next FOMC meeting, derived from futures pricing. Higher cut probability is generally bullish for risk assets.

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SLR Regime?Supplementary Leverage Ratio — a bank capital rule. When eased or exempted, banks can hold more Treasuries without extra capital, increasing system liquidity. Bullish for BTC.

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Polymarket?Prediction market odds for Bitcoin-related events. Real-money bets give a crowd-sourced probability of price targets, regulatory outcomes, and adoption milestones.

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Fear & Greed?Market sentiment index from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed). Based on volatility, momentum, social media, and BTC dominance. Contrarian signal — extreme fear can mean opportunity.

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